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(12/18) blogs & S P A M
revisited
My laments
about blog overload coincided with
Gartner saying
"Blogging and community contributors will peak in the
first half of 2007. Given the trend in the average life span of a
blogger and the current growth rate of blogs, there are already
more than 200 million ex-bloggers.
Consequently, the peak number
of bloggers will be around 100 million at some point in the first half
of 2007." [emphasis added]
Not quite as focused is the TIME Magazine article, "Person of the Year: You".
TIME
elaborates through more than five paragraphs, eschewing the year's
conflicts and tragedies, citing
Wikipedia,
YouTube,
MySpace and
Web
2.0 before mentioning blogs.
But the technical press, e.g.,
The
Register, and a number of bloggers seem to equate
Person of the Year with blogger(s).
I spend too much time trying to track too many blogs, but do
so with ruthless efficiency, only skimming the <title> lines,
much in the fashion of skimming news groups in the 80's or reviewing
the morning report of yesterday's 1000+ discarded spams.
Among the noteworthy trends are the multi-day propagation delays
between original posts in specialized blogs to regurgitation in more
general sources.
This occurs with a variety of topics, from technical to what might be
called "geek social", e.g., Microsoft
knocked out by mother nature, to the more general.
For example, when Ahmet Ertegun died December 14, some blogs posted the news
that day.
Since the death resulted from a fall October 29, it was not a surprise.
The New York Times obituary likely was prepared in advance.
Lots of sources had the news the next day. But other sources
just got around to reporting his death today, when he was buried.
S P A M, again
After months of a seeming plateau, there are widespread perceptions
and statistics that spam has escalated.
Closer to home, my "Suspect" folder seemed to be gathering
tens of mails at a time.
Spending time purging those items, and forgeries that made it into
other folders, made it clear that my previous attempts to discard mail
based on originator names, whether forged or real, were fruitless.
What I have now is simpler, yet more effective:
- First, the "white lists" are used to classify and
deliver wanted mail, based on origin and recipient.
Though spam gets mixed in, due to forgery, most of this
mail is valid. Sooner or later authentication technology will exist to
eliminate the forgeries.
- SpamAssassin, with
fairly strict settings, marks presumed spam.
- My own heuristic content filters get a chance to mark as spam anything
that SpamAssassin passed.
- Everything else, which is not much, goes to
"Suspect"
- Though the spam goes to a /dev/null (trash) folder, a nightly
report of From & Subject: lines gives me a chance to recover
false positives. (Since there can easily be a thousand discarded
mails listed in the report, "ruthless" efficiency
is expedient in skimming the report.)
In spite of the overall escalation, the latest revisions seem more
effective than anything I've used before.
Example Procmail configuration is visible at
http://technologists.com/~procmail/.procmailrc
and the referenced files visible as links in
http://technologists.com/~procmail/.
Of course, along with anticipation about VOIP
benefits, there are hazards.
"SPam over Internet Telephony" (SPIT) may be one of them.
coda
Now that we've adapted to the NT4 end-of-life, or chosen to go on
with NT4 in spite of Microsoft, the Windows 2000
end-of-life issues are next.
Today I was supposed to have my own "high patient satisfaction"
surgery,
removal of cataracts in my right eye. But my opthamologist was ill,
so the surgery is rescheduled for Wednesday morning.
If we go ahead with the left eye now, it will be next Thursday.
(12/13) blog, blog,
blog
Reasons I haven't been writing?
- Busy with family
- Busy with work, both paid and pro bono
- Writer's block
- All of the above, but...
"blog overload" has also affected me.
- Trying to keep up with far too many blogs -- see http://www.bloglines.com/public/CharlesHSauer.
- Dismay at the questionable over popularization of "blogging"
-- everywhere you look there's a new blog, a new RSS feed.
- Dismay that five years ago I was unable to conjure up good projects
leveraging the emerging importance of blogs and RSS.
- Dismay that five years ago I was unable to persuade local venture
capitalists that they should be looking for blog/RSS investments.
- Doubting whether I had enough worthwhile things to write about.
A few months ago I convinced myself that writing more "tidbits"
wasn't a good idea.
It was not hard to find supporting searches:
"To blog or not to blog" found over 300,000 matches
"Nothing new" "To blog or not to blog" found over 1,000
"Enough new" "To blog or not to blog" found about 50
But as I revisit various old ideas, I am finding new inspirations.
So I'll try to resume writing, perhaps not taking things so
seriously, and, perhaps, having a little more humility.
Videoconferencing
Ten years ago, when Joe and I had finished Mainstream
Videoconferencing, our optimism about the future of the
industry was premature.
The then dominant suppliers were not nimble enough in the midst of Internet
"hyper-growth" and "Year 2000" concerns.
For example, PictureTel, the dominant U.S. supplier in the
90's, saw year-to-year revenue declines such that 1999 revenue was
66% of 1996 revenue.
After 9/11/2001, new predictions of industry growth flourished,
but combined supplier revenue this year is probably no more than half
the corresponding figure for 1996.
However, the evolution of computers, Internet connections and
packet-based implementations has finally enabled casual use of
videoconferencing.
In 1996, high-end PCs were fast enough to handle video coding,
audio coding and communication protocols, but were not fast enough
to do other things at the same time, and were not inexpensive.
For a number of years now, inexpensive PCs have been up to the
tasks, so personal video conferencing hardware can be thought of as
"almost free".
The biggest technical hurdle had been "the last
mile" connections, which were too slow and too expensive.
Pervasive broadband connections are fast enough and affordable.
As I use packet-based implementations, both H.323 and SIP, it is
delightful to see how robust they can be.
Packet Telephony (VoIP - Voice over Internet Protocol)
Though videoconferencing is not yet "mainstream", much of
wired telephony is transitioning quickly from circuits to packets.
- Long distance carriers began transitioning to packets years ago
to save costs, unbeknownst to most of their customers.
- Popular services such as Skype and
Vonage have brought Internet
telephony to individuals.
- Broadband providers are doing likewise.
- Asterisk and other
open source software can now turn a PC into a very low cost PBX.
- Cisco is seeking to expand their presence in voice communications.
- Microsoft and other software vendors are trying to extend their offerings to fit with voice over Internet protocols.
I have set up a simplistic Asterisk PBX for my own use and am gradually
understanding the myriad issues and opportunities.
LDAP and other administrative tools have renewed relevance.
System Administration
Just as I questioned whether to write more of these "tidbits" I
questioned whether I wanted to be committed to the expense and effort of
having my own servers and business Internet connection.
The monthly fees would probably go down by about two-thirds if I switched
to ordinary broadband and a shared hosting service.
However, both for client purposes and my own explorations,
continuing with my own servers seems worthwhile.
In particular, if I want to seriously explore Asterisk and
alternatives, having the servers and connections I have seems
necessary.
I had put off upgrading Linux servers from Fedora 3, but when
Fedora Core 6
seemed stable, I put it into production. So far, no regrets.
Macs
As I reorganize and recycle equipment, doing something better with
my dilapidated iBook
seems worthwhile.
In particular, I want to try videoconferencing with XMeeting,
since Joe seems happy with XMeeting on his MacBook.
Mac OS X 10.4 is a prerequisite to XMeeting, so upgrading from
"Panther" was the first step.
Initial testing with XMeeting is promising, even on the obsolescent
900 MHz G3.
But the way I was using the VGA port on my LCD
was cumbersome, and I really disliked the iBook keyboard.
Now I have an external USB keyboard and a USB KVM.
The iBook is out of sight, analogous to a Mac mini, but
definitely not out of mind -- the iBook is finally enjoyable again.
(4/5) Post-Hiatus Miscellany: Surgery,
Photos, Phones, Notebooks, Fedora 5
After the last long hiatus, "If Tomorrow Wasn't Such A Long Time", I did not expect another, but it happened, for similar reasons: personal illnesses, a variety of family challenges and blessings, and trying to keep up/catch up with commercial and pro bono professional activities.
One of the challenges was the continued deterioration of my wife's arthritic left knee. It had been troubling her for over a dozen years, presumably from the stress of pursuing classical ballet until she was 37, and landing on that leg when she did jumps. In early October, our excellent orthopedist recommended knee replacement and scheduled surgery for November. However, family matters took precedence and delayed the surgery, similar to her hip replacement last May, and the surgery was not performed until February 28.
Knee replacement is more challenging for all than hip replacement. It is more painful, by far, and recovery is slower. Caroline was in the hospital for seven days, vs. four days for the hip. Fortunately, all of the medical professionals we dealt with were good or better, in contrast to the unfortunate experience at the hospital after her hip replacement. I still spent most of my time at the hospital, and one physician told me that if his wife were in the hospital, he would be doing what I was doing. However, five weeks after surgery, Caroline is walking without a cane. Two days ago she was discharged from physical therapy and saw the orthopedist for follow-up. He was pleased enough with her progress that he doesn't need to see her for six months.
Returning to Managing Digital Photos
I've not done much, except ponder, since saying I was going to ponder what to do next. I have taken a few photos and have become more fluent in PHP, due to one of my pro bono web site projects. However, on the surface, it doesn't appear that Flickr has changed much except to allow more of their own metadata. Flickr does not seem to have a lot of competition, though others might disagree -- see Flickr has some catching up to do, for example.
Photo Phones
One thing I have done is think more about how photo capable phones fit with "real" cameras (note the bias I carry). Caroline got me an LG PM-325 with a built-in camera. At first I thought that the built-in Bluetooth would allow me to transfer photos to Bluetooth capable computers, so I got a little USB Bluetooth dongle. However, the PM-325 doesn't have any useful Bluetooth profiles for file transfer. (The PM-325 does have a profile for Windows "dial-up networking", but my first attempt at using the PM-325 for DUN failed to establish pairing between the notebook and the PM-325.) So, for now, the most pragmatic approach seems to be Sprint's services for email and web access to photos. So far, these are unimpressive. In particular, the navigation is clumsy and (predictably) there is no (preservation of?) metadata.
Notebooks
I did get the Dell Latitude D510 as planned and it seems to be what I wanted/expected for both Linux and Windows XP. Though it is bigger than the iBook, it is small enough for my purposes (and I purchased a warranty that will apply even if I drop it!). The iBook is still functional with the external LCD, but it does not get used much.
Fedora Core 5
Fedora Core 3 on my production Linux machine is now in legacy status. That is about the only motivation to go with Fedora Core 4, but Fedora Core 5 now seems stable and will probably go on the production machine soon. The only apparent holdup is integrating the mod_auth++ changes into the rewritten mod_auth_basic.c that comes with Apache 2.2 in FC5.
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